A Nuclear Iran?

Let us imagine that Iran has acquired a nuclear weapon. What can it possibly do with it? If it fires it at Israel it will face a massive nuclear counter attack. Even if it caught Israel totally off guard it would be subjecting its own and virtually all the other Muslim nations in the Middle East -- Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, etc. etc. to the dreadful nuclear fallout from the prevailing winds. See the map of the Middle East if in doubt:

http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.flag-zone.com/img/continent/middle-east/map.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.flag-zone.com/continent/middle-east/&h=97&w=129&sz=12&tbnid=koQ055q9lhkJ:&tbnh=97&tbnw=129&sa=X&oi=image_result&resnum=1&ct=image&cd=3

If this website does not come up, simply Google Map of the Middle East.

I am not arguing that we should not counsel Iran not to develop nuclear weapons. As we have seen from the Israeli attack on a supposed nuclear site in Syria and its devastation of Lebanon, that it would most likely be the first to direct a major attack on its supposed threatening enemy.

One can imagine a scenario at 3 a.m. with a call to the White House:

"Hi, Hillary/Barack/John, this is Ben and I have some bad news -- we have top secret information that Iran is about to nuke our major cities. Do you have any objections to us launching a preemptive strike?"

What do you suppose Hillary/Barack/John would answer?
--
"A war is just if there is no alternative, and the resort to arms is legitimate if they represent your last hope." (Livy cited by Machiavelli)
--
Ed Kent 212-665-8535 (voice mail only) [blind copies]
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